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2025-04-17
学术通讯 | 中国人民大学人口学系“刘铮系列讲座”之《实验经济学基本原理及在中国农村政策探索中的应用》成功举办
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学术通讯 | 中国人民大学人口学系“刘铮系列讲座”之《儿童研究方法论的国际经验与中国探索》成功举办
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学术通讯 | 中国人民大学人口学系“刘铮系列讲座”之《中国台湾地区可负担托育服务的发展、效果及启示》成功举办
2024-11-28
学术通讯 | 中国人民大学人口学系“刘铮系列讲座”之《儿童罕见病疾病负担研究》成功举办
论文著作
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Navigating online perils: Socioeconomic status, online activity lifestyles, and online fraud targeting and victimization of old adults in China
作者: Donghui Wang, Yuwei Duan, Yongai Jin*
Online fraud poses a growing threat to the well-being of old adults. This study examines the causes and correlates of online fraud targeting and victimization among old adults in China. Drawing insights from the digital inequality theory and lifestyle routine activity theory and utilizing a nationally representative survey of Chinese old adults (N = 4293), this study examines how socioeconomic status and online lifestyle patterns affect their susceptibility to online fraud. The results show that old adults of better socioeconomic status are more likely to be targeted by online frauds, though not necessarily experiencing financial loss. Latent class analysis identifies four online activity lifestyles among old adults: basic, entertainment, risky, and advanced users. Subsequent analysis demonstrates that these lifestyle types predict different risks of online fraud targeting and victimization. Basic users face a heightened risk of being targeted but not necessarily monetary loss. Risky users, while not exhibiting elevated targeting risks compared to basic users, are more susceptible to financial loss once targeted. Advanced users, in contrast to basic users, face elevated risks of being targeted and monetary loss. This study offers new insights into the risk factors for online fraud targeting and victimization among old adults in China, informing the development of effective online fraud prevention programs.
低生育率社会中的家庭结构与育儿功能——基于资源供需视角的实证分析
作者: 宋健、陈文琪
本研究基于资源供需视角实证分析了低生育率社会中的家庭结构与育儿功能间的关系，并探讨了家庭情境的调节作用。育儿功能是指家庭调配整合资源以满足育儿需求的能力，本文从经济、服务和时间三个维度对其进行考察。在综合考虑了代际间居住安排的灵活性和家庭成员的流动性之后，本文将家庭结构区分为紧密式（包括凝聚式、灵活式）和松散式。研究发现，紧密式结构家庭的育儿功能优于松散式结构家庭，这在经济维度和服务维度上尤为突出。家庭情境具有显著的调节效应。本研究创建了家庭育儿功能资源供需的分析框架，对家庭结构进行了动态分类，有助于探索生育率持续低迷背后的家庭机制。
中华传统婚育文化的继承与变革
作者: 宋健、郑玉荣、张晓倩
构建新时代婚育文化是人口新形势下积极应对低生育率挑战的必然要求。婚育文化的发展离不开对中华传统婚育文化的继承与创新。在中国式现代化进程中，中国婚育文化与各个历史时期的生产力和生产关系相适应，展现出不同的阶段性特征，并在当前形成了传统与现代相交织的情形。具体表现为：从静态到流动、从熟悉到陌生、从确定到风险的社会转型削弱了家庭的凝聚力、降低了婚姻的稳定性、动摇了生育的必要性，数字社会在文化、经济、情感三方面影响青年的婚育文化。新时代婚育文化的构建须坚持对中华传统婚育文化的守正创新：一要重视现代婚育文化建设与当前生产力和生产关系的适配性；二要注重婚育文化与整体的社会文化体系相融合；三要重视与新型婚育文化相配套的功能性制度的完善。
Internet use and healthcare utilization among older adults in China: A nationally representative cross- sectional study
作者: Rize Jing, Xiaozhen Lai, Long Li *, Hufeng Wang
Assessment of the factor structure of the EPDS in Chinese perinatal women: a longitudinal study using multigroup confirmatory factor analysis.
作者: Huimin Guan, Bowen Sun, Li Yang and Ye Zhang
Introduction: Perinatal depression poses significant risks to the mental healthof perinatal women, affecting both their well-being and their ability to care for
themselves and infants. This study investigates the factor structure and reliability
of the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) across multiple time points
in perinatal women in China.
Methods:A total of 849 perinatal women participated in this study, with data collected
at six time points: early, mid, and late pregnancy, as well as 1, 3, and 6 months
postpartum. Parallel analysis and exploratory factor analysis were conducted to
determine the factor structure of the EPDS. Internal consistency was assessed using
Cronbach’s alpha. Multigroup confirmatory factor analysis was performed to assess
measurement invariance between the antepartum (T1–T3) and postpartum (T4–T6)
groups, and to assess the fit of model across the perinatal period.
Results: Three-factor models fit best for the EPDS during the perinatal period when
analyzed at each time points and across the perinatal period. When the same item
assignment was applied to the antepartum and postpartum groups, a three-factor
model for the EPDS fit well [χ2(df = 48) = 231.92, p < 0.001; CFI = 0.97, RMSEA = 0.06,
TLI = 0.96]. The EPDS showed a Cronbach’s alpha of 0.84.
Discussion: The 3-factor model of EPDS showed good reliability, internal
consistency, and measurement invariance. Our findings suggested that the EPDS
can effectively capture symptom variability in perinatal depression, supporting
its use as a monitoring tool throughout both antepartum and postpartum.
Gendered outcomes? Educational assortative marriages, gender ideology, and depressive symptoms in China
作者: Zhao, Menghan; Zhang, Yang*
Background: Traditionally, the educational hypergamy dominates in most societies due to men's higher educational attainment and advantages in market work. Women in hypogamy showed greater physical and mental health disadvantages because it goes against the traditional gender ideology about marriage and results in stress. However, the recent rise in women's education and the subsequent changes in people's attitude toward assortative marriages may alter this association.Methods: Using four waves of data from the nationally representative survey—China Family Panel Studies (2012–2020, N = 31,884), we paired married respondents with their spouses and examined how educational assortative marriages were related to the depressive symptoms of wives and husbands by multilevel linear model analyses. We also tested how gender ideology about marriage might moderate this association.
Results: Compared to those in homogamy, women in hypergamy (hypogamy) were less (more) depressed, while men in hypergamy (hypogamy) were more (less) depressed. Traditional gender ideology led to even more depressive symptoms among wives in hypogamy.
Limitations: The findings should be interpreted as associational rather than causal, because we cannot establish a causal relationship without individuals' depressive symptoms before marriage, though a wide range of confounders has been controlled.
Conclusions: Against the conventional expectation that hypogamy leads to more depressive symptoms, both women and men who had less-educated spouses than themselves exhibited more depressive symptoms, whereas those with more-educated spouses were less depressed. Aside from the traditional gender norms, the practical needs, such as higher living standards and socioeconomic status, might influence how educational assortative marriages affect people's depression.
Mapping KDQOL-36 Onto EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 in Patients Undergoing Dialysis in China.
作者: Zeyuan Chen, Li Yang, Ye Zhang.
Objectives: To develop mapping algorithms based on Kidney Disease Quality of Life-36 (KDQOL-36) scores to the EQ-5D-5Land SF-6Dv2 utility values among dialysis patients in China.
Methods: We used data from a cross-sectional multicenter survey in China to map the KDQOL-36 to the EQ-5D-5L and SF-
6Dv2. The conceptual overlap between the KDQOL-36 and the EQ-5D-5L or SF-6Dv2 was evaluated using Spearman’s
correlation coefficients. Direct mapping, including ordinary least squares, generalized linear model, beta regression model,
Tobit regression model (TRM), censored least absolute deviations model, adjusted limited dependent variable mixture
model (ALDVMM), response mapping, and seemingly unrelated ordered probit model, were used to derive mapping
functions using the data set. Model performance was assessed by the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square
error (RMSE) using cross-validation.
Results: A total of 378 patients (50.53% female; mean [SD] age: 49.05 [13.34]) were included in this study. The mean utility
values of EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 were 0.72 and 0.57, respectively. When mapping to the EQ-5D-5L, the ALDVMM with 1
component was the best-performing model (MAE = 0.1579, RMSE = 0.2289). When mapping to SF-6Dv2, TRM was the
best-performing model (MAE = 0.1108, RMSE = 0.1508). Generally, KDQOL-36 subscale scores and their squares were the
optimal predictor set for each model. Overall, the models using KDQOL-36 subscale scores showed a better fit than those
using the Kidney Disease Component Summary.
Conclusions: The ALDVMM and TRM models with the KDQOL-36 scores can be used to predict the EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2
utility values, respectively, among dialysis patients in China.
中国老年心理研究二十年：学科交叉视角下的回顾与前瞻
作者: 唐丹，李星语
21 世纪以来,中国人口老龄化加剧,老年心理研究蓬勃发展。基于医学、心理学与社会学等多学科的观察发现我国老年心理研究在老年心理特征、精神障碍诊治、心理健康影响因素等方面取得显著成就,但仍面临研究对象有局限、研究方法欠科学、理论实践难匹配、学科融合未充分及本土特色不突出等问题。未来,应强化学科间整合,注重理论与方法创新,聚焦中国文化背景下的社会心理现象,关注弱势群体,将科研成果转化为具体干预措施,持续推动我国老年心理研究的丰富与发展。
增益还是损耗？流动经历对我国农村人口老年期健康的影响。
作者: 唐丹，李星语
自20世纪80年代起，大量农村剩余劳动力从农村流动到城市，但随着年龄增长，许多大龄农民工会选择返乡。老年期的健康状况是全生命历程中多重因素的累积结果，劳动年龄阶段的流动经历作为一项重要的生命事件必然会对农村人口老年期的健康产生影响。但现有农村老年人健康研究忽视了过往流动经历这一重要因素，缺乏对劳动年龄阶段的流动经历与老年期健康状况的关系及其中的作用机制进行讨论。本研究基于中国健康与养老追踪调查（CHARLS）数据探究劳动年龄阶段的流动经历对农村人口老年期健康的影响，并重点讨论经济资本与社会资本在其中的作用机制。研究发现：从总效应来看，劳动年龄阶段曾经流动对老年期身心健康均产生负面影响；流动次数越多、初次流动时机越早对老年期身体健康的负面影响越大，但对心理健康无显著影响。尽管劳动年龄阶段的流动经历可增加老年期的经济资本和社会资本，这两种资本的增加进一步对老年期的身心健康产生积极影响；但流动经历带来经济资本和社会资本提升并不能抵消流动所伴随的负面效应对老年期健康的消极作用，经济资本与社会资本在流动经历与老年期身心健康之间起到遮掩效应。根据压力过程理论与劣势累积理论，负面效应主要包括流动带来的适应性压力，不仅有繁重劳累且极不稳定的工作、恶劣的生活环境与居住条件、风土人情与文化观念的冲突碰撞，还有因户籍壁垒与用人单位失职导致的无法享受与流入地居民同等的社会福利和公共服务。这些因素与风险不断累积（尤其是随着流动次数的增加与流动时间的延长）导致流动人口健康状况持续损耗，并在老年期进一步恶化，加剧健康不平等。因此，流动人口的研究和政策制定必须立足全生命周期，完善全年龄流动人口保障体系，同时倡导“做自己健康的第一责任人”的理念，使每一位劳动者铭记“健康不可为财富牺牲”的原则，为流动人口进入老年期做好前瞻性政策准备。